Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 87.265012 97.374608 107.650920 118.847801 130.674070 142.765569 156.034494
2025-10-12 72.760930 87.546643 103.176285 120.805356 140.019475 160.219657 182.957469
2025-10-19 62.442817 79.709709 98.515582 120.266638 144.496644 170.449427 200.146527
2025-10-26 54.351477 73.315954 94.540384 119.634219 148.109174 179.079791 214.989025
2025-11-02 48.538058 68.873593 92.195201 120.298560 152.688254 188.363258 230.168774
2025-11-09 42.786034 63.960481 88.849701 119.404264 155.143139 194.971063 242.098770
2025-11-16 38.386582 60.301848 86.659949 119.564780 158.556968 202.452858 254.825451
2025-11-23 33.920993 56.188875 83.622499 118.457799 160.274111 207.816391 264.992215
2025-11-30 31.186570 54.082710 82.870583 119.941204 164.906459 216.430975 278.783264
2025-12-07 28.878079 52.352599 82.444694 121.701212 169.771266 225.242497 292.743807
2025-12-14 25.617042 49.068558 79.846909 120.620020 171.099356 229.822070 301.730000
2025-12-21 22.255205 45.368564 76.502282 118.430339 170.942120 232.540081 308.454418
2025-12-28 21.538069 45.483670 78.207803 122.672287 178.704322 244.720630 326.353297
2026-01-04 20.249107 44.647885 78.576489 125.165410 184.297149 254.319692 341.240180
2026-01-11 18.015865 42.185935 76.604067 124.532040 185.937691 259.132481 350.441579
2026-01-18 15.991237 39.871739 74.710184 123.901035 187.503286 263.796697 359.421042
2026-01-25 14.540793 38.361221 73.858077 124.576282 190.659216 270.345783 370.612427
2026-02-01 12.770262 36.142638 71.881265 123.664531 191.740049 274.326362 378.703829
2026-02-08 11.444877 34.566453 70.751723 123.828189 194.141953 279.883285 388.655597
2026-02-15 9.920170 32.461222 68.732656 122.699057 194.823284 283.285929 395.984982
2026-02-22 9.141903 31.681285 68.659596 124.212138 198.893917 290.847379 408.319297
2026-03-01 8.484205 31.070618 68.807693 126.007150 203.315702 298.835900 421.169582
2026-03-08 7.282557 29.209855 66.930523 124.904482 203.907569 302.041823 428.200197